Carsten A. HOLZ
Professor of Social Science, HKUST
E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org (or email@example.com) Photo CV (12 Nov. 10): A4 , letter size
Research interests: China's economy (in particular economic growth,
regional economic development, Chinese statistics)
Field in economics: development economics, applied macroeconomics and monetary economics
can a subset of industry produce more output than all of industry?"
2pp. note on 2006 and 2007 industrial value added. 27 Nov. 08
Publications (journals, books)
Abstracts of publications
"The Unbalanced Growth Hypothesis and the Role of the State: the Case of China's State-owned Enterprises." Forthcoming in the Journal of Development Economics.
"No Razor's Edge: Reexamining Alwyn Young's Evidence for Increasing Inter-Provincial Trade Barriers in China." The Review of Economics and Statistics 91, no. 3 (Aug. 2009): 599-616.
Economic Growth 1978-2025: What We Know Today about China's Economic Growth
Tomorrow." 26 Dec. 2006 (not final). (Appendices.)
World Development 36, no. 10 (Oct. 2008): 1665-1691. Appendices of final version.
"China's 2004 Economic Census and 2006 Benchmark Revision of GDP Statistics: More Questions Than Answers." The China Quarterly, no. 193 (March 2008): 150-63. Copyright holder: The China Quarterly / School of Oriental and African Studies.
"Spatial Price Differences in China: Estimates and Implications." With Loren Brandt. Economic Development and Cultural Change 55, no. 1 (Oct. 2006): 43-86.
"New Capital Estimates for China." China Economic Review 17,
no. 2 (2006): 142-85. Appendices
Also in the same issue: "Response to Gregory C. Chow's 'New Capital Estimates for China: Comments'," pp. 193-97.
"China's Reform Period Economic Growth: How Reliable Are Angus Maddison's Estimates." Review of Income and Wealth 52, no. 1 (March 2006): 85-119. Appendices. My response to Maddison's reply to my paper, published as: "China’s Reform Period Economic Growth: How Reliable Are Angus Maddison’s Estimates? Response to Angus Maddison’s Reply." Review of Income and Wealth 52, no. 3 (Sept. 2006): 471-5.
"Deconstructing China's GDP Statistics." China Economic Review 15, no. 2 (2004): 164-202.
"China's Statistical System in Transition: Challenges, Data Problems, and Institutional Innovations." Review of Income and Wealth 50, no. 3 (Sept. 2004): 381-409.
China's State-owned Enterprises between Profitability and Bankruptcy.
Scientific, 2003. (monograph)
Update on the definition of "state-owned and state-controlled enterprises." Abstract and table of contents
"'Fast, Clear and Accurate:' How Reliable Are Chinese Output and Economic Growth Statistics?" The China Quarterly, no. 173 (March 2003): 122-63.
"Long Live China's State-owned Enterprises: Deflating the Myth of Poor Financial Performance." Journal of Asian Economics 13, no. 4 (July/August 2002): 493-529.
"Institutional Constraints on the Quality of Statistics in a Developing and Transitional Economy: the Case of China." China Information 16, no 1 (2002): 25-67. Paper
"The 1997-1998 Break in Industrial Statistics: Facts and Appraisal." With Yi-min Lin. Contribution to symposium on China's statistics. China Economic Review 12, no. 4 (2001): 303-16.
"Pitfalls of China's Industrial Statistics: Inconsistencies and Specification Problems." With Yi-min Lin. The China Review 1, no. 1 (Fall 2001): 29-71.
"Identifying the Patterns of Profitability Across Chinese State-owned Enterprises: Which Industrial State-owned Enterprises in China Are Profitable?" Journal of Asian Business 17, no. 2 (2001): 33-62.
"The Impact of the Liability-Asset Ratio on Profitability in China's Industrial State-owned Enterprises." China Economic Review 13, no. 1 (2002): 1-26.
"The Impact of Competition and Labor Remuneration on Profitability in China's Industrial State-owned Enterprises." Journal of Contemporary China 11, no. 32 (Aug. 2002): 515-38.
"Why Do Aggregate Production Functions Work? Fisher's simulations, Shaik's Identity and Some New Results." With Jesus Felipe. International Review of Applied Economics 15, no. 3 (July 2001): 261-85.
"Economic Reforms and State Sector Bankruptcy in China." The China Quarterly, no. 166 (June 2001): 342-67.
"Banking and Enterprise Reform in the People's Republic of China after the Asian Financial Crisis: An Appraisal." With Tian Zhu. Asian Development Review 18, no. 1 (2001): 73-93.
"China's Monetary Reform: The Counterrevolution from the Countryside." Journal of Contemporary China 10, no. 27 (2001): 189-217.
"The Changing Role of Money in China and Its Implications." Comparative Economic Studies 42, no. 3 (Fall 2000): 77-100.
"Contractionary Investment Policies in China 1988/89: Accounting for the Implementation Difficulties and Successes." The China Quarterly, no. 160 (Dec. 1999): 881-918.
The Role of Central Banking in China's Economic Reforms. Cornell
East Asia Series, No. 59. Ithaca: Cornell University East Asia Program,
"Statistics." Entry in Encyclopedia of Modern China, Charles Scribner's Sons / Gale Group, forthcoming.
"Have China Scholars All Been Bought?" Far Eastern Economic Review
170, no. 3 (April 2007): 36-40.
Article: free at FEER website; as pdf file. Criticism and response.
"More Number Games." China Economic Quarterly 10, no. 3 (third quarter, 2006): 40-44.
"Why China's Growth is Sustainable." Far Eastern Economic Review 169, no. 3 (April 2006): 41-6.
"Why China's New GDP Data Matters." Far Eastern Economic Review 169, no. 1 (Jan./Feb. 2006): 54-7.
"The Institutional Arrangements for the Production of Statistics." OECD---China Governance Project. OECD Statistics working paper, STD/DOC (2005) 1, 19 Jan. 2005.
"China's Economic Growth Statistics: Trustworthy in the Long Run, Less
So in the Short Run." Asia-Pacific Research Center, Stanford University,
Dispatch October 2004. For full text click here.
Academic employment and qualifications
Earlier working papers and other research
"The Quantity and Quality of Labor in China 1978-2000-2025." (Manuscript constructing labor data) May 2005. 81pp.
"Financing Constraints and Investment in China's Township and Village Enterprises." December 1999.
"China's Bad Loan Problem." April 1999.
SOSC 181 Introduction to China's Economy
SOSC 260 China's Economy
SOSC 301B Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences
SOSC 340 International Monetary and Financial Economics
SOSC 359 Money and Banking in China
Intermediate Microeconomics, Intermediate Macroeconomics (standard textbook courses)
SOSC 341 East Asian Economic Development [course
outline of spring 2009]
[syllabus of spring 2008, as taught in the Economics Department at Princeton University]
USC Econ 343 Economics of East Asia
SOSC 511 Social Science Research Methods
SOSC 515 China's Economic Growth [course outline of spring 1998]
SOSC 534 Quantitative Analysis in the Social Sciences [course outline of spring 2007]
The Chinese Economy [syllabus
of spring 2008, as taught in the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton
SOSC 543 The Chinese Economy [fall 2008]
SOSC 543 / 323 The Chinese Economy [fall 2009]
USC Econ 346 Economics of Transition and Development: China
SOSC 544 Economics of Development [course
outline of spring 2010]
How to get to HKUST http://ihome.ust.hk/~socholz/directions.html
University homepage http://www.ust.hk
Hong Kong model of academia, HKUST matters http://ihome.ust.hk/~socholz/HKUST-SOSC.html
Social Science Division homepage http://www.ust.hk/~websosc/
Social Science Division seminar homepage http://www.ust.hk/~websosc/seminar/seminet.htm
My mailing address: Carsten Holz, SOSC, HKUST,
Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong. [HK doesn't have zip codes.]
2010/11: Dept. of Economics, University of Southern California, 3620 South Vermont Avenue, KAP 300, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0253, USA
Tel. in Hong Kong (+852): 2358-7835 (office); dept. general office 2358-7811.
Last updated: 12 Nov. 2010 (and I tend to forget to update this date when I update the page)